This weekend, we have an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to get my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at the $30k decoration, and then I will likely have a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is an easy pile in cash week. I believe we easily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also assures us the winner. As I have mentioned several times previously, we do not want 6 wins in cash games, so play with those type of games all you have to do is conquer half the area. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to cash in the majority of cash games. Even in case you have a strong lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP drama of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the highest ITD lineup on the card in -140 and he can easily hit 100+ DK points by getting that in round 1. The worry here would be him being on his back in around 1 and then scoring zero points through that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round two. Or no KO at all. Either of these would take him away the optimal lineup so we need this fight to stay standing and ideally an early KO. I think that is extremely possible and he’ll be a heart GPP play of mine this week. He isn’t the greatest cash game play though because he could be placed on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the battle that way. I am OK with him cash, but I will not be making a priority like I will being obese in GPPs.
Underdog drama of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is all about pickem’ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. But, Ewell is your preferred on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score tremendously he’s likely going to want a complete finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength though. Ewell has difficulty staying off his back and when ADS can place him there he could possibly submit him. He could rack up multiple takedowns for a high decision score. I like the value we’re getting on him $7.9k and I like that he should be seeking to grapple in this particular fight. That’s the reason why I needed to select him as my puppy of the week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real easy fades this week. I do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she looks to be only a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to victory is by way of grappling. If Kondo is not at a striking game for 15-minutes I really don’t see how she scores tremendously unless she receives a finish. I don’t believe she has KO power, therefore I believe it’s purely the significant strikes and the win bonus which we’d be relying here. I would rather take a fighter with a opportunity to complete or who is more likely to grapple. That’s exactly why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I’m 81-51 to get +251.89un (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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